The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. 22 car Sunday. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats.

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DraftKings Values

, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. Michigan Track History Kyle Larson has been elite at Michigan. 23 on the schedule and that means there are only four races left until the playoffs begin. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nascar | pageType: stories | Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. The top 10 in drivers standings is a great place to start looking for drivers for this weeks race. ET on Sunday. Michigan International Speedway is a huge 2-mile track that produces some very high speeds heading into the corners, but theres really not a lot of action going on on the track outside of the restarts, so it can be a little boring (and usually has just one car dominating most of the day). Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. That was no fluke. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Rain and snow washed out practice and qualifying on Saturday, so we have no data to analyze ahead of Sundays race. The NASCAR Cup Series will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway Sunday. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. ET on USA Network. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. Reddick is listed at 10-1 while Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the latest 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. 9 car for Watkins Glen). However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. FantasyCPR.com is the #1 Fantasy NASCAR site Fantasy NASCAR Picks Recap of the Pure Michigan 400 Welcome back to our fantasy NASCAR coverage for the 2015 season. Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. I love this track; its had some great races in the last few years thanks to its high tire wear. Bell can win this race. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. Kyle Larson I believe thats a mistake. Erik Jones ($7,700)Career at Auto Club: 5 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 3 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 10.2. She earned her B.A. The Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. DraftKings Picks Kevin Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. With an AFP this poor and a cost of 23.1, Newman would just a poor place to invest almost one-fourth of your budget. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. Since my brain works more in tournament mode, though, I actually like the 2nd-best lineup (according to my projections) a little more, and that one is: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Austin Dillon, Tyler Reddick, and Anthony Alfredo. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. Here are my picks for the matchups, DENNY HAMLIN vs. TYLER REDDICK (My Pick: DENNY HAMLIN), RYAN BLANEY vs. WILLIAM BYRON (My pick is RYAN BLANEY), KEVIN HARVICK vs. JOEY LOGANO (My pick is JOEY LOGANO), DANIEL SUAREZ vs. BUBBA WALLACE (My pick is BUBBA WALLACE), If you need any further advice with your team, look for me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR, If you like Fantasy NASCAR, LIKE my Fantasy NASCAR Tips Page on Facebook. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); document.getElementById( "ak_js_2" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); A daily email update (Monday through Friday) providing racing news, commentary, features, and information from Frontstretch.com, Im not interested, don't show this again, NASCAR 101: Closing a Chapter on Auto Club Speedway, Fire on Fridays: Ryan Blaney Needs to Make a Splash in 2023, Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings Forecast: 2023 Daytona 500, MNR Issues Penalties to Multiple Drivers Following Championship Race, Tony Kanaan Retiring From IndyCar After 2023 Indy 500, 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League, Daily Fantasy Forecast powered by DraftKings, Tyler Reif Running Full ARCA East Schedule, This Day in Dirt: Terry McCarl Wins Duel of Sprint Car Veterans at Southern Raceway. Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. The NASCAR Cup Series is headed to the Irish Hills of Michigan this weekend for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. Anthony Alfredo ($5,800) Nobody really likes this but DraftKings is really not giving us much of a choice when it comes to lineup builds this weekend; Anthony Alfredo is the no-brainer chalk play in this price range. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. 19 team knows they need a win this week. The Michigan State Spartans (17-10, 9-7 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11, 9-8) meet Saturday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. He has never finished worse then 10th and only finished out of the top three once, with two of the those races being wins for the No. Michigan | DFS NASCAR Fantasy Driver-by-Driver Breakdown (DraftKings & FanDuel) Watch on Optimal Lineup According to Jordans Projections The optimal The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. Over the last three races at Michigan, over half of the drivers that started in the top 10 end there as well, so before picking your team for this week, make sure to take a quick glance and see who is starting where for the race this weekend because it could pay dividends. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. Michigan | NASCAR Fantasy Picks - FireKeepers Casino 400 (2021 Race #25) Watch on Slingshot Fantasy Auto Contest Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at The SHR Cars:With all the focus on the Toyotas, lets not overlook the speed of the Stewart-Haas Racing cars. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Chase Elliott 3. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. That said, Buschs afternoon wasnt incident free. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. Its the same story with Blaney as it is with Chase Elliott this weekend: pick up some dominator points and a top 5 finish and the moderate DraftKings salary would be worth it. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. So what are the top NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday's 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400? Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. Joy joined Frontstretch in 2019 as a NASCAR DraftKings writer, expanding to news and iRacing coverage in 2020. my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. Reddick will once again be up against the wall scoring Stage Points. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. I expect to have another chance to win there. I wrote his remarks in my notes and highlighted PLAY BELL AT MICHIGAN. He comes from the same school of racing as Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick. Austin Dillon 5. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. WebNASCAR and its marks are trademarks of the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing, LLC. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. These times can be a tricky thing to sift through at times, but once you find what you are looking for, they can be extremely useful. ET . ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). The question is, what is his upside? Copyright 2023 Action Network Inc, All Rights Reserved.Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | AdChoices. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? ET . The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. Christopher Bell 4. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. Thanks for choosing to comment on this article. Of all the drivers currently in the top 10 in points, the driver to avoid at Michigan is Ryan Newman. EyesonXfinity:Has John Hunter Nemecheks Trophy Hunting Paid Off? Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Can he carry that momentum to this week across the country? Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Michigan has been a stellar track for Larson and on Sunday, look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win. He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, Theres no better time than now to give it a try!